Milestone 1 · Renewable fuel price trajectories (AUD/GJ)
Levelised cost projections to 2045 for renewable hydrogen, green ammonia, methanol, renewable diesel, SAF, biomethane and biodiesel - including PtL and biogenic pathways - benchmarked against fossil reference prices.
2025 vs 2045 – levelised cost
Learning-curve driven cost reductions across pathways.
Native-unit prices
Converted to industry-standard units for reference.
| Fuel | 2025 | 2035 | 2045 | CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renewable Hydrogen | $6.96/kg | $3.36/kg | $2.16/kg | 5 gCO₂e/MJ |
| Green Ammonia (PtL) | $1.15/kg | $0.60/kg | $0.41/kg | 8 gCO₂e/MJ |
| Bio-Methanol | $42.0/GJ | $32.0/GJ | $28.0/GJ | 12 gCO₂e/MJ |
| e-Methanol (PtL) | $70.0/GJ | $36.0/GJ | $26.0/GJ | 6 gCO₂e/MJ |
| Renewable Diesel (HVO) | $1.73/L | $1.37/L | $1.22/L | 18 gCO₂e/MJ |
| e-Diesel (PtL) | $3.24/L | $1.66/L | $1.15/L | 5 gCO₂e/MJ |
| SAF – HEFA | $1.82/L | $1.40/L | $1.26/L | 15 gCO₂e/MJ |
| SAF – Alcohol-Jet | $2.38/L | $1.54/L | $1.33/L | 18 gCO₂e/MJ |
| SAF – Fischer-Tropsch | $2.73/L | $1.61/L | $1.26/L | 10 gCO₂e/MJ |
| SAF – PtL | $3.85/L | $1.82/L | $1.26/L | 4 gCO₂e/MJ |
| Biomethane | $28.0/GJ | $22.0/GJ | $18.0/GJ | 8 gCO₂e/MJ |
| Biodiesel (FAME) | $1.25/L | $1.06/L | $0.92/L | 22 gCO₂e/MJ |